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Apple's Growth Hinges On China, New Devices

Discussion in 'Off-Topic Discussion' started by CatfishRivers, Apr 27, 2012.

  1. CatfishRivers

    CatfishRivers Well-Known Member

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    Apple's growth hinges on China, new devices - Chicago Tribune (click for full article)

    "SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - Sometimes even eye-popping results are not enough.


    Apple Inc's shares rallied on Wednesday on the back of another spectacular quarter that included soaring iPhone sales in China, but the naysayers are still asking if the most valuable American company might need yet another revolutionary product in the next year to sustain its sizzling growth.


    The skeptics certainly lost some credibility when the company's shares surged 9 percent on Wednesday, adding about $50 billion to Apple's market value, but some have not been silenced.


    Their case is based on the law of large numbers - it is going to be more difficult for Apple to grow as fast the bigger it gets - and on the unforgiving nature of the technology business that can turn heroes into has-beens overnight.


    The bulls point to emerging markets - in particular China, whose mobile market is the world's largest and far from saturation - and upcoming products like a 4G-enabled iPhone 5 and the oft-rumored Apple TV, as sustaining astonishing growth such as the near-doubling of net income in its second quarter.


    But the bears, with a longer-term view, fear that Google Android devices will eventually put pressure on Apple's margins in China as they have elsewhere, and wonder if Apple will be successful in tacking on another blockbuster consumer device to its portfolio.


    Sales in China, particularly, are key for Apple to maintain its pace of revenue growth in the longer term, said Carolina Milanesi, consumer technologies analyst at Gartner.


    "That's the big question," she said, referring to market share in China. "From an affordability perspective, I think the opportunity is there to allow it to maintain that growth or at least not to see an immediate drop in sales."


    In products, "TV seems to be one that everybody is looking at," she added. "
     
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2012
  2. CatfishRivers

    CatfishRivers Well-Known Member

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    5 Things That Can Send Apple Moving Higher Again - DailyFinance (click for full article)

    "After years of thumping the market, Apple (NAS: AAPL) shares have been vulnerable in recent weeks. The stock that peaked at $644 last month to make Apple the world's most valuable company in terms of market capitalization has since shed 18% of its value.


    Apple shares haven't been this cheap, on an earning basis, in a long time. The stock closed Thursday at just 11 times this fiscal year's projected profitability and less than 10 times next year's target. Back out the company's $110 billion in balance-sheet greenery, and those multiples drop to 9 and 8, respectively.


    No one seems to be rallying behind the valuation argument. Folks are concerned about sluggish Mac sales and the future of iPhone subsidies. The term "iPhone fatigue" is starting to make the rounds, as if it actually means something at a time when iPhone 4S sales remain strong.


    Even though Apple's stock is still trading nicely higher year to date, many are asking when this swift correction will pass. No one knows for sure, but let's dive into five things that could send the shares back to resuming their winning ways if they materialize."
     

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